Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.367641 1.663789 2.035759 2.547985 3.252894 4.217556 5.692337
2025-01-26 1.026596 1.386210 1.912654 2.785758 4.304910 7.098675 13.475083
2025-02-02 0.829778 1.199868 1.801415 2.946528 5.362490 11.234174 32.621743
2025-02-09 0.684331 1.035710 1.649282 2.940340 6.111574 16.001891 77.328432
2025-02-16 0.574843 0.898295 1.492852 2.841217 6.580543 21.149437 189.938381
2025-02-23 0.511282 0.824237 1.429491 2.911930 7.605075 31.626765 908.416169
2025-03-02 0.467217 0.775293 1.400401 3.051439 9.053906 51.722339 47257.680919
2025-03-09 0.423063 0.717234 1.336069 3.069245 10.132297 78.942595 NaN
2025-03-16 0.378054 0.649866 1.235309 2.940535 10.467939 104.813625 NaN
2025-03-23 0.355357 0.623832 1.223386 3.080770 12.437861 204.559363 NaN
2025-03-30 0.330529 0.589443 1.183684 3.114921 13.960444 384.428183 NaN
2025-04-06 0.303490 0.546676 1.114720 3.019658 14.542629 618.750740 NaN
2025-04-13 0.280645 0.510942 1.059099 2.961132 15.472860 1214.550784 NaN
2025-04-20 0.272339 0.506246 1.084045 3.232104 20.155137 15580.663118 NaN
2025-04-27 0.261586 0.494486 1.087502 3.423954 25.126061 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.246078 0.469750 1.049525 3.415134 27.836885 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.229291 0.440195 0.992588 3.293497 28.640025 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.219416 0.426051 0.978710 3.379974 33.779015 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.212222 0.417529 0.980202 3.551152 42.454359 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.202459 0.401632 0.956020 3.573041 48.395717 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.190096 0.378139 0.904241 3.415006 48.312217 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.184864 0.372056 0.907467 3.587216 62.025844 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.177716 0.360395 0.890502 3.629246 72.532458 NaN NaN